Correct Score Predictions: 9-12 Oct 2026

The model gives Borussia Dortmund 2.48 expected goals to Werder Bremen's 0.73. Borussia Dortmund averaged 2.38 scored and 0.96 conceded across 26 home matches on record. Werder Bremen averaged 1.05 scored and 1.79 conceded across 19 away matches. Last meeting on record: Werder Bremen 0-2 Borussia Dortmund. It leans to a win for Borussia Dortmund, with 3-0 at 10% and 1-0 at 10% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Racing Club de Lens 1.39 expected goals to Olympique Lyonnais's 1.51. Racing Club de Lens averaged 2.11 scored and 0.84 conceded across 19 home matches on record. Olympique Lyonnais averaged 1.32 scored and 1.16 conceded across 19 away matches. Last meeting on record: Olympique Lyonnais 0-4 Racing Club de Lens. It leans to a win for Olympique Lyonnais, with 0-1 at 8% and 0-2 at 6% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Málaga 0.68 expected goals to Espanyol de Barcelona's 1.08. Espanyol de Barcelona averaged 1.18 scored and 1.59 conceded across 22 away matches. It leans to a win for Espanyol de Barcelona, with 0-2 at 10% and 1-2 at 7% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Arsenal 1.25 expected goals to Leeds United's 0.60. Arsenal averaged 2.10 scored and 0.50 conceded across 30 home matches on record. Leeds United averaged 1.05 scored and 1.71 conceded across 21 away matches. Arsenal have a net spend of about €77m in this window. Last meeting on record: Leeds United 0-4 Arsenal. It leans to a win for Arsenal, with 2-0 at 12% and 2-1 at 7% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Sunderland 1.18 expected goals to Brighton & Hove Albion's 2.17. Sunderland averaged 1.24 scored and 1.05 conceded across 21 home matches on record. Brighton & Hove Albion averaged 1.43 scored and 1.43 conceded across 21 away matches. Last meeting on record: Sunderland 0-1 Brighton & Hove Albion. It leans to a win for Brighton & Hove Albion, with 0-2 at 8% and 0-1 at 7% the next likeliest scores that way.

Fulham averaged 0.81 scored and 1.52 conceded across 21 away matches. It leans to a win for Fulham, with 0-1 at 7% and 0-2 at 6% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Aston Villa 1.36 expected goals to Brentford's 1.65. Aston Villa averaged 1.57 scored and 1.19 conceded across 21 home matches on record. Brentford averaged 1.19 scored and 1.62 conceded across 21 away matches. Aston Villa have a net sale of about €84m in this window. Last meeting on record: Aston Villa 0-1 Brentford. It leans to a win for Brentford, with 0-1 at 8% and 0-2 at 7% the next likeliest scores that way.

Chelsea averaged 1.59 scored and 1.26 conceded across 27 home matches on record. Bournemouth averaged 1.52 scored and 1.81 conceded across 21 away matches. Chelsea have a net sale of about €280m in this window. Last meeting on record: Chelsea 2-2 Bournemouth. It leans to a win for Chelsea, with 1-0 at 5% and 3-1 at 4% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Manchester United 2.16 expected goals to Tottenham Hotspur's 0.88. Manchester United averaged 2.18 scored and 1.23 conceded across 22 home matches on record. Tottenham Hotspur averaged 1.37 scored and 1.59 conceded across 27 away matches. Last meeting on record: Manchester United 2-0 Tottenham Hotspur. It leans to a win for Manchester United, with 1-0 at 10% and 2-1 at 10% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1.42 expected goals to Athletic Club's 1.08. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid averaged 1.36 scored and 0.86 conceded across 22 home matches on record. Athletic Club averaged 1.04 scored and 1.81 conceded across 26 away matches. Last meeting on record: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1-1 Athletic Club. It leans to a win for Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, with 2-1 at 9% and 2-0 at 8% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Deportivo Alavés 1.29 expected goals to Club Atlético de Madrid's 1.43. Deportivo Alavés averaged 1.48 scored and 1.22 conceded across 23 home matches on record. Club Atlético de Madrid averaged 1.39 scored and 1.61 conceded across 31 away matches. Last meeting on record: Club Atlético de Madrid 1-0 Deportivo Alavés. It leans to a win for Club Atlético de Madrid, with 1-2 at 9% and 0-2 at 7% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Barcelona 2.44 expected goals to Getafe's 0.46. Barcelona averaged 3.42 scored and 0.84 conceded across 31 home matches on record. Getafe averaged 0.68 scored and 1.23 conceded across 22 away matches. Barcelona have a net spend of about €43m in this window. Last meeting on record: Getafe 0-2 Barcelona. It leans to a win for Barcelona, with 3-0 at 13% and 1-0 at 13% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Real Madrid 3.09 expected goals to Villarreal's 1.04. Real Madrid averaged 2.50 scored and 0.87 conceded across 30 home matches on record. Villarreal averaged 1.14 scored and 1.59 conceded across 29 away matches. Real Madrid have a net spend of about €340m in this window. Last meeting on record: Villarreal 0-2 Real Madrid. It leans to a win for Real Madrid, with 2-1 at 8% and 3-0 at 8% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Genoa 1.22 expected goals to Fiorentina's 1.28. Genoa averaged 1.09 scored and 1.50 conceded across 22 home matches on record. Fiorentina averaged 1.14 scored and 1.67 conceded across 21 away matches. Last meeting on record: Fiorentina 0-0 Genoa. It leans to a win for Fiorentina, with 1-2 at 8% and 0-2 at 7% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Internazionale Milano 2.36 expected goals to Parma's 0.76. Internazionale Milano averaged 2.50 scored and 1.07 conceded across 30 home matches on record. Parma averaged 0.67 scored and 1.19 conceded across 21 away matches. Last meeting on record: Internazionale Milano 2-0 Parma. It leans to a win for Internazionale Milano, with 1-0 at 10% and 3-0 at 10% the next likeliest scores that way.

Napoli averaged 1.59 scored and 0.96 conceded across 27 home matches on record. Napoli have a net spend of about €50m in this window. It leans to a win for Napoli, with 2-1 at 6% and 2-0 at 6% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives FSV Mainz 1.60 expected goals to Bayer Leverkusen's 1.58. FSV Mainz averaged 1.16 scored and 1.47 conceded across 19 home matches on record. Bayer Leverkusen averaged 1.61 scored and 1.54 conceded across 28 away matches. Last meeting on record: Bayer Leverkusen 1-1 FSV Mainz. It leans to a win for FSV Mainz, with 1-0 at 6% and 2-0 at 5% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Augsburg 1.34 expected goals to Bayern München's 2.95. Augsburg averaged 1.58 scored and 1.58 conceded across 19 home matches on record. Bayern München averaged 3.07 scored and 1.19 conceded across 27 away matches. Bayern München have a net spend of about €55m in this window. Last meeting on record: Bayern München 1-2 Augsburg. It leans to a win for Bayern München, with 1-3 at 8% and 0-2 at 6% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Paderborn 1.04 expected goals to VfB Stuttgart's 1.14. VfB Stuttgart averaged 2.26 scored and 2.11 conceded across 19 away matches. It leans to a win for VfB Stuttgart, with 1-2 at 8% and 0-2 at 7% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives TSG Hoffenheim 2.70 expected goals to Hamburger's 1.03. TSG Hoffenheim averaged 2.05 scored and 1.32 conceded across 19 home matches on record. Hamburger averaged 0.79 scored and 2.05 conceded across 19 away matches. Last meeting on record: Hamburger 1-2 TSG Hoffenheim. It leans to a win for TSG Hoffenheim, with 2-0 at 9% and 3-1 at 8% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives RB Leipzig 2.60 expected goals to Eintracht Frankfurt's 1.46. RB Leipzig averaged 2.53 scored and 1.05 conceded across 19 home matches on record. Eintracht Frankfurt averaged 1.83 scored and 2.26 conceded across 23 away matches. RB Leipzig have a net sale of about €280m in this window. Last meeting on record: Eintracht Frankfurt 1-3 RB Leipzig. It leans to a win for RB Leipzig, with 3-1 at 7% and 2-0 at 6% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Lille OSC 1.39 expected goals to Le Havre's 0.68. Lille OSC averaged 1.47 scored and 1.05 conceded across 19 home matches on record. Le Havre averaged 0.79 scored and 1.58 conceded across 19 away matches. Lille OSC have a net sale of about €100m in this window. Last meeting on record: Lille OSC 1-1 Le Havre. It leans to a win for Lille OSC, with 2-0 at 12% and 2-1 at 8% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Monaco 2.14 expected goals to Toulouse's 1.02. Monaco averaged 1.75 scored and 1.21 conceded across 24 home matches on record. Toulouse averaged 1.37 scored and 1.37 conceded across 19 away matches. Last meeting on record: Toulouse 2-2 Monaco. It leans to a win for Monaco, with 2-0 at 10% and 1-0 at 9% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Lorient 0.93 expected goals to Paris FC's 1.23. Lorient averaged 1.79 scored and 1.53 conceded across 19 home matches on record. Paris FC averaged 1.16 scored and 1.32 conceded across 19 away matches. Last meeting on record: Lorient 1-1 Paris FC. It leans to a win for Paris FC, with 0-2 at 9% and 1-2 at 8% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Paris Saint-Germain 2.95 expected goals to Le Mans's 1.08. Paris Saint-Germain averaged 2.76 scored and 1.21 conceded across 29 home matches on record. Paris Saint-Germain have a net sale of about €89m in this window. It leans to a win for Paris Saint-Germain, with 3-1 at 8% and 2-0 at 8% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Stade Brestois 1.32 expected goals to Angers SCO's 0.93. Stade Brestois averaged 1.58 scored and 1.37 conceded across 19 home matches on record. Angers SCO averaged 0.74 scored and 1.53 conceded across 19 away matches. Last meeting on record: Stade Brestois 1-1 Angers SCO. It leans to a win for Stade Brestois, with 2-0 at 9% and 2-1 at 9% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Como 1.29 expected goals to Roma's 1.57. Como averaged 1.95 scored and 0.86 conceded across 21 home matches on record. Roma averaged 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded across 22 away matches. Last meeting on record: Como 2-1 Roma. It leans to a win for Roma, with 0-1 at 8% and 0-2 at 7% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Lazio 2.06 expected goals to Monza's 1.12. Lazio averaged 1.43 scored and 1.29 conceded across 21 home matches on record. It leans to a win for Lazio, with 2-0 at 9% and 1-0 at 8% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Lecce 0.89 expected goals to Bologna's 1.15. Lecce averaged 0.76 scored and 1.43 conceded across 21 home matches on record. Bologna averaged 1.43 scored and 1.19 conceded across 21 away matches. Last meeting on record: Bologna 2-0 Lecce. It leans to a win for Bologna, with 0-2 at 9% and 1-2 at 8% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Sassuolo 1.20 expected goals to Milan's 1.66. Sassuolo averaged 1.43 scored and 1.38 conceded across 21 home matches on record. Milan averaged 1.50 scored and 0.82 conceded across 22 away matches. Last meeting on record: Sassuolo 2-0 Milan. It leans to a win for Milan, with 0-1 at 9% and 0-2 at 8% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Cagliari 0.82 expected goals to Juventus's 1.17. Cagliari averaged 1.10 scored and 1.14 conceded across 21 home matches on record. Juventus averaged 1.44 scored and 1.22 conceded across 27 away matches. Last meeting on record: Cagliari 1-0 Juventus. It leans to a win for Juventus, with 0-2 at 9% and 1-2 at 8% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Elche 1.47 expected goals to Celta de Vigo's 1.29. Elche averaged 1.55 scored and 1.36 conceded across 22 home matches on record. Celta de Vigo averaged 1.14 scored and 0.95 conceded across 22 away matches. Last meeting on record: Celta de Vigo 3-1 Elche. It leans to a win for Elche, with 1-0 at 9% and 2-0 at 7% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Real Sociedad de Fútbol 1.78 expected goals to Deportivo La Coruña's 1.40. Real Sociedad de Fútbol averaged 1.77 scored and 1.59 conceded across 22 home matches on record. It leans to a win for Real Sociedad de Fútbol, with 1-0 at 7% and 2-0 at 7% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Real Betis Balompié 2.34 expected goals to CA Osasuna's 0.72. Real Betis Balompié averaged 1.68 scored and 0.86 conceded across 22 home matches on record. CA Osasuna averaged 0.77 scored and 1.64 conceded across 22 away matches. Last meeting on record: CA Osasuna 1-1 Real Betis Balompié. It leans to a win for Real Betis Balompié, with 1-0 at 11% and 3-0 at 10% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Real Racing Club de Santander 2.03 expected goals to Valencia's 1.63. Valencia averaged 0.95 scored and 1.64 conceded across 22 away matches. It leans to a win for Real Racing Club de Santander, with 3-1 at 6% and 2-0 at 5% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Nice 1.10 expected goals to Strasbourg Alsace's 1.73. Nice averaged 1.05 scored and 1.48 conceded across 21 home matches on record. Strasbourg Alsace averaged 1.75 scored and 1.80 conceded across 20 away matches. Last meeting on record: Strasbourg Alsace 3-1 Nice. It leans to a win for Strasbourg Alsace, with 0-1 at 10% and 0-2 at 9% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Stade Rennais 2.38 expected goals to Auxerre's 1.34. Stade Rennais averaged 1.79 scored and 1.00 conceded across 19 home matches on record. Auxerre averaged 1.00 scored and 1.84 conceded across 19 away matches. Last meeting on record: Auxerre 0-3 Stade Rennais. It leans to a win for Stade Rennais, with 3-1 at 7% and 2-0 at 7% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Troyes 1.01 expected goals to Olympique de Marseille's 2.04. Olympique de Marseille averaged 1.24 scored and 1.64 conceded across 25 away matches. It leans to a win for Olympique de Marseille, with 0-2 at 10% and 0-1 at 9% the next likeliest scores that way.

Everton averaged 1.05 scored and 1.14 conceded across 21 away matches. Everton have a net sale of about €75m in this window. It leans to a win for Everton, with 1-2 at 4% and 0-2 at 4% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Crystal Palace 1.13 expected goals to Nottingham Forest's 1.39. Crystal Palace averaged 1.05 scored and 1.43 conceded across 21 home matches on record. Nottingham Forest averaged 1.52 scored and 1.48 conceded across 21 away matches. Last meeting on record: Nottingham Forest 1-1 Crystal Palace. It leans to a win for Nottingham Forest, with 1-2 at 9% and 0-2 at 8% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Liverpool 1.30 expected goals to Manchester City's 1.32. Liverpool averaged 1.89 scored and 1.11 conceded across 28 home matches on record. Manchester City averaged 1.68 scored and 1.21 conceded across 28 away matches. Liverpool have a net spend of about €104m in this window and Manchester City have a net sale of about €106m in this window. Last meeting on record: Liverpool 1-2 Manchester City. It leans to a win for Manchester City, with 1-2 at 8% and 0-2 at 6% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Köln 2.12 expected goals to Borussia Mönchengladbach's 1.48. Köln averaged 1.79 scored and 1.74 conceded across 19 home matches on record. Borussia Mönchengladbach averaged 0.95 scored and 1.95 conceded across 19 away matches. Last meeting on record: Köln 3-3 Borussia Mönchengladbach. It leans to a win for Köln, with 3-1 at 6% and 2-0 at 6% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Freiburg 1.16 expected goals to Schalke's 0.64. Freiburg averaged 2.21 scored and 1.21 conceded across 19 home matches on record. It leans to a win for Freiburg, with 2-0 at 11% and 2-1 at 7% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Atalanta 2.56 expected goals to Venezia's 0.81. Atalanta averaged 1.38 scored and 1.03 conceded across 29 home matches on record. It leans to a win for Atalanta, with 3-0 at 10% and 2-1 at 9% the next likeliest scores that way.

Torino averaged 1.33 scored and 1.57 conceded across 21 home matches on record. Udinese averaged 1.57 scored and 1.62 conceded across 21 away matches. Last meeting on record: Udinese 2-0 Torino. It leans to a win for Torino, with 1-0 at 6% and 2-0 at 5% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Coventry City 0.64 expected goals to Newcastle United's 1.90. Newcastle United averaged 1.43 scored and 1.50 conceded across 28 away matches. It leans to a win for Newcastle United, with 0-2 at 14% and 1-2 at 9% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Levante 1.55 expected goals to Sevilla's 1.27. Levante averaged 1.57 scored and 1.62 conceded across 21 home matches on record. Sevilla averaged 1.23 scored and 1.68 conceded across 22 away matches. Last meeting on record: Levante 2-0 Sevilla. It leans to a win for Levante, with 1-0 at 9% and 2-0 at 7% the next likeliest scores that way.