Correct Score Predictions: 8-10 Sep 2026

The model gives Club Brugge 2.44 expected goals to Aston Villa's 1.46. Club Brugge averaged 3.14 scored and 1.71 conceded across 7 home matches on record. Aston Villa averaged 1.14 scored and 1.48 conceded across 21 away matches. Aston Villa have a net sale of about €84m in this window. It leans to a win for Club Brugge, with 3-1 at 7% and 2-0 at 6% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Borussia Dortmund 2.48 expected goals to Villarreal's 1.20. Borussia Dortmund averaged 2.33 scored and 0.96 conceded across 24 home matches on record. Villarreal averaged 1.04 scored and 1.56 conceded across 27 away matches. Last meeting on record: Borussia Dortmund 4-0 Villarreal. It leans to a win for Borussia Dortmund, with 2-0 at 8% and 3-1 at 8% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Lille OSC 1.71 expected goals to Real Betis Balompié's 0.77. Lille OSC averaged 1.41 scored and 1.00 conceded across 17 home matches on record. Real Betis Balompié averaged 1.33 scored and 1.62 conceded across 21 away matches. Lille OSC have a net sale of about €100m in this window. It leans to a win for Lille OSC, with 2-0 at 12% and 2-1 at 9% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Real Madrid 2.77 expected goals to Internazionale Milano's 1.43. Real Madrid averaged 2.46 scored and 0.86 conceded across 28 home matches on record. Internazionale Milano averaged 2.00 scored and 1.07 conceded across 28 away matches. Real Madrid have a net spend of about €340m in this window. It leans to a win for Real Madrid, with 3-1 at 8% and 2-0 at 6% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Porto 1.03 expected goals to Manchester City's 2.10. Manchester City averaged 1.69 scored and 1.31 conceded across 26 away matches. We hold no top-flight results for Porto, so the model starts them below the league average until real results arrive. Manchester City have a net sale of about €106m in this window. It leans to a win for Manchester City, with 0-2 at 10% and 0-1 at 9% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Barcelona 4.12 expected goals to Feyenoord Rotterdam's 0.85. Barcelona averaged 3.24 scored and 0.79 conceded across 29 home matches on record. Barcelona have a net spend of about €43m in this window. It leans to a win for Barcelona, with 3-0 at 8% and 4-1 at 7% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives VfB Stuttgart 2.90 expected goals to Viking FK's 1.05. VfB Stuttgart averaged 1.89 scored and 0.94 conceded across 18 home matches on record. We hold no top-flight results for Viking FK, so the model starts them below the league average until real results arrive. It leans to a win for VfB Stuttgart, with 3-1 at 8% and 2-0 at 8% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Liverpool 2.45 expected goals to Club Atlético de Madrid's 1.34. Liverpool averaged 1.96 scored and 1.15 conceded across 26 home matches on record. Club Atlético de Madrid averaged 1.34 scored and 1.66 conceded across 29 away matches. Liverpool have a net spend of about €104m in this window. Last meeting on record: Liverpool 3-2 Club Atlético de Madrid. It leans to a win for Liverpool, with 3-1 at 7% and 2-0 at 7% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Sporting Clube de Portugal 2.07 expected goals to Galatasaray's 0.80. Sporting Clube de Portugal averaged 2.67 scored and 0.67 conceded across 6 home matches on record. Galatasaray averaged 1.00 scored and 2.50 conceded across 6 away matches. It leans to a win for Sporting Clube de Portugal, with 1-0 at 11% and 2-1 at 10% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Paris Saint-Germain 2.84 expected goals to ŠK Slovan Bratislava's 1.02. Paris Saint-Germain averaged 2.64 scored and 1.21 conceded across 28 home matches on record. Paris Saint-Germain have a net sale of about €89m in this window. It leans to a win for Paris Saint-Germain, with 2-0 at 9% and 3-1 at 8% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Napoli 0.98 expected goals to Arsenal's 1.57. Napoli averaged 1.68 scored and 1.00 conceded across 25 home matches on record. Arsenal averaged 1.77 scored and 0.80 conceded across 30 away matches. Napoli have a net spend of about €50m in this window and Arsenal have a net spend of about €77m in this window. It leans to a win for Arsenal, with 0-2 at 10% and 1-2 at 9% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives PSV 2.31 expected goals to FK Shakhtar Donetsk's 1.04. PSV averaged 2.20 scored and 2.60 conceded across 5 home matches on record. We hold no top-flight results for FK Shakhtar Donetsk, so the model starts them below the league average until real results arrive. It leans to a win for PSV, with 2-0 at 9% and 1-0 at 8% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Fenerbahçe 1.26 expected goals to Roma's 1.97. Roma averaged 1.50 scored and 1.05 conceded across 20 away matches. It leans to a win for Roma, with 0-2 at 8% and 0-1 at 7% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Como 2.90 expected goals to RB Leipzig's 1.07. Como averaged 1.84 scored and 0.84 conceded across 19 home matches on record. RB Leipzig averaged 1.50 scored and 1.67 conceded across 18 away matches. RB Leipzig have a net sale of about €280m in this window. It leans to a win for Como, with 3-1 at 8% and 2-0 at 8% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Bayern München 3.44 expected goals to FK Bodø/Glimt's 1.34. Bayern München averaged 3.67 scored and 1.04 conceded across 27 home matches on record. FK Bodø/Glimt averaged 1.43 scored and 2.29 conceded across 7 away matches. Bayern München have a net spend of about €55m in this window. It leans to a win for Bayern München, with 2-1 at 7% and 4-1 at 7% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Slavia Praha 1.33 expected goals to Racing Club de Lens's 2.27. Racing Club de Lens averaged 1.78 scored and 1.33 conceded across 18 away matches. It leans to a win for Racing Club de Lens, with 1-3 at 7% and 0-2 at 7% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Manchester United 3.37 expected goals to Sabah FK's 1.01. Manchester United averaged 2.20 scored and 1.30 conceded across 20 home matches on record. We hold no top-flight results for Sabah FK, so the model starts them below the league average until real results arrive. It leans to a win for Manchester United, with 3-0 at 8% and 2-1 at 7% the next likeliest scores that way.