Correct Score Predictions: 29-31 Aug 2026

The model gives Liverpool 1.72 expected goals to Nottingham Forest's 1.05. Liverpool averaged 1.96 scored and 1.12 conceded across 25 home matches on record. Nottingham Forest averaged 1.47 scored and 1.47 conceded across 19 away matches. Liverpool have a net spend of about €104m in this window. Last meeting on record: Nottingham Forest 0-1 Liverpool. It leans to a win for Liverpool, with 2-1 at 10% and 2-0 at 9% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Bournemouth 1.76 expected goals to Everton's 1.02. Bournemouth averaged 1.53 scored and 1.05 conceded across 19 home matches on record. Everton averaged 1.11 scored and 1.21 conceded across 19 away matches. Last meeting on record: Everton 1-2 Bournemouth. It leans to a win for Bournemouth, with 2-1 at 10% and 2-0 at 10% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Tottenham Hotspur 1.57 expected goals to Newcastle United's 1.57. Tottenham Hotspur averaged 1.62 scored and 1.27 conceded across 26 home matches on record. Newcastle United averaged 1.42 scored and 1.46 conceded across 26 away matches. Last meeting on record: Tottenham Hotspur 1-2 Newcastle United. It leans to a win for Tottenham Hotspur, with 1-0 at 6% and 2-0 at 5% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Levante 1.05 expected goals to Real Betis Balompié's 1.26. Levante averaged 1.37 scored and 1.47 conceded across 19 home matches on record. Real Betis Balompié averaged 1.30 scored and 1.45 conceded across 20 away matches. Last meeting on record: Real Betis Balompié 2-1 Levante. It leans to a win for Real Betis Balompié, with 1-2 at 8% and 0-2 at 8% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Real Sociedad de Fútbol 1.86 expected goals to Espanyol de Barcelona's 1.28. Real Sociedad de Fútbol averaged 1.95 scored and 1.63 conceded across 19 home matches on record. Espanyol de Barcelona averaged 1.16 scored and 1.63 conceded across 19 away matches. Last meeting on record: Espanyol de Barcelona 1-1 Real Sociedad de Fútbol. It leans to a win for Real Sociedad de Fútbol, with 1-0 at 8% and 2-0 at 8% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Sevilla 1.53 expected goals to Club Atlético de Madrid's 1.42. Sevilla averaged 1.30 scored and 1.30 conceded across 20 home matches on record. Club Atlético de Madrid averaged 1.33 scored and 1.63 conceded across 27 away matches. Last meeting on record: Sevilla 2-1 Club Atlético de Madrid. It leans to a win for Club Atlético de Madrid, with 0-1 at 7% and 0-2 at 5% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Chelsea 1.36 expected goals to Brighton & Hove Albion's 1.55. Chelsea averaged 1.48 scored and 1.16 conceded across 25 home matches on record. Brighton & Hove Albion averaged 1.16 scored and 1.37 conceded across 19 away matches. Chelsea have a net sale of about €135m in this window. Last meeting on record: Brighton & Hove Albion 3-0 Chelsea. It leans to a win for Chelsea, with 1-0 at 7% and 2-0 at 5% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Sunderland 1.41 expected goals to Fulham's 1.03. Sunderland averaged 1.32 scored and 1.05 conceded across 19 home matches on record. Fulham averaged 0.89 scored and 1.63 conceded across 19 away matches. Last meeting on record: Sunderland 1-3 Fulham. It leans to a win for Sunderland, with 2-1 at 9% and 2-0 at 9% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Leeds United 1.34 expected goals to Brentford's 1.07. Leeds United averaged 1.53 scored and 1.11 conceded across 19 home matches on record. Brentford averaged 1.16 scored and 1.63 conceded across 19 away matches. Last meeting on record: Leeds United 0-0 Brentford. It leans to a win for Leeds United, with 2-1 at 9% and 2-0 at 8% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Manchester United 2.10 expected goals to Ipswich Town's 1.15. Manchester United averaged 2.05 scored and 1.26 conceded across 19 home matches on record. It leans to a win for Manchester United, with 2-0 at 9% and 1-0 at 8% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Real Madrid 2.82 expected goals to Málaga's 0.42. Real Madrid averaged 2.41 scored and 0.89 conceded across 27 home matches on record. Real Madrid have a net spend of about €340m in this window. It leans to a win for Real Madrid, with 3-0 at 15% and 1-0 at 11% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Deportivo La Coruña 1.00 expected goals to Valencia's 0.95. Valencia averaged 1.00 scored and 1.68 conceded across 19 away matches. It leans to a win for Deportivo La Coruña, with 2-0 at 7% and 2-1 at 7% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Celta de Vigo 1.76 expected goals to Athletic Club's 0.89. Celta de Vigo averaged 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded across 20 home matches on record. Athletic Club averaged 1.00 scored and 1.88 conceded across 25 away matches. Last meeting on record: Athletic Club 1-1 Celta de Vigo. It leans to a win for Celta de Vigo, with 2-0 at 11% and 2-1 at 10% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives CA Osasuna 1.02 expected goals to Getafe's 0.62. CA Osasuna averaged 1.55 scored and 1.20 conceded across 20 home matches on record. Getafe averaged 0.70 scored and 1.25 conceded across 20 away matches. Last meeting on record: Getafe 1-0 CA Osasuna. It leans to a win for CA Osasuna, with 2-0 at 10% and 2-1 at 6% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Barcelona 2.41 expected goals to Rayo Vallecano de Madrid's 0.63. Barcelona averaged 3.18 scored and 0.75 conceded across 28 home matches on record. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid averaged 0.90 scored and 1.55 conceded across 20 away matches. Last meeting on record: Barcelona 1-0 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid. It leans to a win for Barcelona, with 1-0 at 11% and 3-0 at 11% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Aston Villa 0.85 expected goals to Arsenal's 1.87. Aston Villa averaged 1.68 scored and 1.16 conceded across 19 home matches on record. Arsenal averaged 1.79 scored and 0.83 conceded across 29 away matches. Aston Villa have a net sale of about €84m in this window and Arsenal have a net spend of about €87m in this window. Last meeting on record: Arsenal 4-1 Aston Villa. It leans to a win for Arsenal, with 0-2 at 11% and 1-2 at 10% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives . FSV Mainz 1.80 expected goals to Paderborn's 1.03. . FSV Mainz averaged 1.24 scored and 1.47 conceded across 17 home matches on record. We hold no top-flight results for Paderborn, so the model starts them below the league average until real results arrive. It leans to a win for . FSV Mainz, with 2-1 at 10% and 2-0 at 10% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives RB Leipzig 1.76 expected goals to Borussia Mönchengladbach's 1.18. RB Leipzig averaged 2.35 scored and 1.18 conceded across 17 home matches on record. Borussia Mönchengladbach averaged 1.06 scored and 1.71 conceded across 17 away matches. RB Leipzig have a net sale of about €280m in this window. Last meeting on record: RB Leipzig 1-0 Borussia Mönchengladbach. It leans to a win for RB Leipzig, with 1-0 at 9% and 2-0 at 8% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives . Köln 1.72 expected goals to TSG Hoffenheim's 1.86. . Köln averaged 1.76 scored and 1.76 conceded across 17 home matches on record. TSG Hoffenheim averaged 1.76 scored and 1.82 conceded across 17 away matches. Last meeting on record: . Köln 2-2 TSG Hoffenheim. It leans to a win for TSG Hoffenheim, with 1-3 at 5% and 0-2 at 5% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives . Union Berlin 1.80 expected goals to Eintracht Frankfurt's 1.43. . Union Berlin averaged 1.53 scored and 1.53 conceded across 17 home matches on record. Eintracht Frankfurt averaged 1.71 scored and 2.29 conceded across 21 away matches. Last meeting on record: . Union Berlin 1-1 Eintracht Frankfurt. It leans to a win for . Union Berlin, with 1-0 at 7% and 2-0 at 6% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Borussia Dortmund 2.26 expected goals to Hamburger's 0.88. Borussia Dortmund averaged 2.35 scored and 1.00 conceded across 23 home matches on record. Hamburger averaged 0.88 scored and 1.88 conceded across 17 away matches. Last meeting on record: Borussia Dortmund 3-2 Hamburger. It leans to a win for Borussia Dortmund, with 2-1 at 10% and 1-0 at 9% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Monza 1.09 expected goals to Udinese's 1.75. Udinese averaged 1.42 scored and 1.42 conceded across 19 away matches. It leans to a win for Udinese, with 0-1 at 10% and 0-2 at 9% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Sassuolo 1.71 expected goals to Torino's 1.36. Sassuolo averaged 1.32 scored and 1.37 conceded across 19 home matches on record. Torino averaged 0.89 scored and 1.79 conceded across 19 away matches. Last meeting on record: Torino 2-1 Sassuolo. It leans to a win for Sassuolo, with 1-0 at 7% and 2-0 at 7% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Fiorentina 0.85 expected goals to Frosinone's 0.65. Fiorentina averaged 1.11 scored and 1.11 conceded across 19 home matches on record. It leans to a win for Fiorentina, with 2-0 at 8% and 2-1 at 5% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Juventus 1.51 expected goals to Parma's 0.57. Juventus averaged 1.92 scored and 0.92 conceded across 26 home matches on record. Parma averaged 0.68 scored and 1.11 conceded across 19 away matches. Last meeting on record: Parma 1-4 Juventus. It leans to a win for Juventus, with 2-0 at 14% and 2-1 at 8% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Freiburg 1.77 expected goals to Werder Bremen's 0.95. Freiburg averaged 1.94 scored and 1.29 conceded across 17 home matches on record. Werder Bremen averaged 1.06 scored and 1.71 conceded across 17 away matches. Last meeting on record: Freiburg 1-0 Werder Bremen. It leans to a win for Freiburg, with 2-0 at 10% and 2-1 at 10% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Augsburg 1.78 expected goals to Schalke's 1.21. Augsburg averaged 1.47 scored and 1.65 conceded across 17 home matches on record. We hold no top-flight results for Schalke, so the model starts them below the league average until real results arrive. It leans to a win for Augsburg, with 1-0 at 8% and 2-0 at 8% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Napoli 1.16 expected goals to Como's 1.23. Napoli averaged 1.71 scored and 0.96 conceded across 24 home matches on record. Como averaged 1.55 scored and 0.75 conceded across 20 away matches. Napoli have a net spend of about €50m in this window. Last meeting on record: Como 0-0 Napoli. It leans to a win for Napoli, with 2-1 at 8% and 2-0 at 6% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Lazio 1.22 expected goals to Genoa's 0.78. Lazio averaged 1.42 scored and 1.32 conceded across 19 home matches on record. Genoa averaged 1.00 scored and 1.32 conceded across 19 away matches. Last meeting on record: Lazio 3-2 Genoa. It leans to a win for Lazio, with 2-0 at 10% and 2-1 at 8% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Cagliari 0.99 expected goals to Internazionale Milano's 2.11. Cagliari averaged 1.16 scored and 1.21 conceded across 19 home matches on record. Internazionale Milano averaged 2.04 scored and 1.11 conceded across 27 away matches. Last meeting on record: Internazionale Milano 3-0 Cagliari. It leans to a win for Internazionale Milano, with 1-2 at 10% and 0-1 at 9% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Lecce 0.71 expected goals to Roma's 1.85. Lecce averaged 0.68 scored and 1.26 conceded across 19 home matches on record. Roma averaged 1.37 scored and 1.11 conceded across 19 away matches. Last meeting on record: Roma 1-0 Lecce. It leans to a win for Roma, with 0-2 at 13% and 1-2 at 9% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Atalanta 1.40 expected goals to Bologna's 0.96. Atalanta averaged 1.41 scored and 1.04 conceded across 27 home matches on record. Bologna averaged 1.58 scored and 1.21 conceded across 19 away matches. Last meeting on record: Atalanta 0-1 Bologna. It leans to a win for Atalanta, with 2-0 at 9% and 2-1 at 9% the next likeliest scores that way.