Correct Score Predictions: 20-21 Oct 2026

The model gives Sabah FK 0.88 expected goals to Borussia Dortmund's 1.50. Borussia Dortmund averaged 1.78 scored and 1.44 conceded across 27 away matches. It leans to a win for Borussia Dortmund, with 0-2 at 10% and 1-2 at 9% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Fenerbahçe 1.55 expected goals to Slavia Praha's 1.18. Slavia Praha averaged 0.20 scored and 2.40 conceded across 5 away matches. It leans to a win for Fenerbahçe, with 2-1 at 9% and 2-0 at 8% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Porto 1.08 expected goals to PSV's 0.79. PSV averaged 1.17 scored and 1.33 conceded across 6 away matches. It leans to a win for Porto, with 2-0 at 9% and 2-1 at 7% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Napoli 1.55 expected goals to FK Bodø/Glimt's 1.07. Napoli averaged 1.64 scored and 0.93 conceded across 28 home matches on record. FK Bodø/Glimt averaged 1.25 scored and 2.63 conceded across 8 away matches. Napoli have a net spend of about €50m in this window. It leans to a win for Napoli, with 2-1 at 9% and 2-0 at 9% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Liverpool 2.72 expected goals to Villarreal's 1.28. Liverpool averaged 1.83 scored and 1.17 conceded across 29 home matches on record. Villarreal averaged 1.10 scored and 1.57 conceded across 30 away matches. Liverpool have a net spend of about €104m in this window. It leans to a win for Liverpool, with 3-1 at 8% and 2-0 at 7% the next likeliest scores that way.

VfB Stuttgart averaged 1.85 scored and 0.95 conceded across 20 home matches on record. Club Atlético de Madrid averaged 1.39 scored and 1.55 conceded across 33 away matches. It leans to a win for Club Atlético de Madrid, with 0-1 at 6% and 0-2 at 5% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Manchester City 2.65 expected goals to PAE AEK's 0.49. Manchester City averaged 2.34 scored and 1.00 conceded across 29 home matches on record. Manchester City have a net sale of about €106m in this window. It leans to a win for Manchester City, with 3-0 at 13% and 1-0 at 11% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Paris Saint-Germain 2.61 expected goals to Barcelona's 2.43. Paris Saint-Germain averaged 2.77 scored and 1.20 conceded across 30 home matches on record. Barcelona averaged 2.50 scored and 1.41 conceded across 32 away matches. Paris Saint-Germain have a net sale of about €89m in this window and Barcelona have a net spend of about €43m in this window. Last meeting on record: Barcelona 1-2 Paris Saint-Germain. It leans to a win for Paris Saint-Germain, with 2-1 at 5% and 3-1 at 5% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Roma 3.10 expected goals to ŠK Slovan Bratislava's 0.40. Roma averaged 1.92 scored and 0.71 conceded across 24 home matches on record. It leans to a win for Roma, with 2-0 at 15% and 4-0 at 12% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Lille OSC 1.90 expected goals to Galatasaray's 1.03. Lille OSC averaged 1.43 scored and 1.00 conceded across 21 home matches on record. Galatasaray averaged 1.00 scored and 2.57 conceded across 7 away matches. Lille OSC have a net sale of about €100m in this window. It leans to a win for Lille OSC, with 1-0 at 10% and 2-0 at 10% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Como 1.45 expected goals to Manchester United's 1.05. Como averaged 1.86 scored and 0.82 conceded across 22 home matches on record. Manchester United averaged 1.42 scored and 1.42 conceded across 24 away matches. It leans to a win for Como, with 2-1 at 9% and 2-0 at 9% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Internazionale Milano 2.28 expected goals to FK Shakhtar Donetsk's 1.22. Internazionale Milano averaged 2.53 scored and 1.13 conceded across 32 home matches on record. It leans to a win for Internazionale Milano, with 2-0 at 8% and 3-1 at 7% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Sporting Clube de Portugal 3.12 expected goals to LASK Linz's 0.38. Sporting Clube de Portugal averaged 2.71 scored and 0.71 conceded across 7 home matches on record. It leans to a win for Sporting Clube de Portugal, with 2-0 at 15% and 4-0 at 12% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Club Brugge 2.29 expected goals to Racing Club de Lens's 1.21. Club Brugge averaged 3.00 scored and 1.88 conceded across 8 home matches on record. Racing Club de Lens averaged 1.86 scored and 1.41 conceded across 22 away matches. It leans to a win for Club Brugge, with 2-0 at 8% and 3-1 at 7% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Real Madrid 3.90 expected goals to RB Leipzig's 1.16. Real Madrid averaged 2.50 scored and 0.84 conceded across 32 home matches on record. RB Leipzig averaged 1.43 scored and 2.00 conceded across 21 away matches. Real Madrid have a net spend of about €340m in this window and RB Leipzig have a net sale of about €280m in this window. It leans to a win for Real Madrid, with 4-1 at 7% and 3-0 at 6% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Bayern München 1.79 expected goals to Arsenal's 1.33. Bayern München averaged 3.90 scored and 0.97 conceded across 30 home matches on record. Arsenal averaged 1.68 scored and 0.79 conceded across 34 away matches. Bayern München have a net spend of about €55m in this window and Arsenal have a net spend of about €77m in this window. Last meeting on record: Arsenal 3-1 Bayern München. It leans to a win for Bayern München, with 1-0 at 7% and 2-0 at 7% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Aston Villa 2.26 expected goals to Viking FK's 1.24. Aston Villa averaged 1.78 scored and 1.17 conceded across 23 home matches on record. Aston Villa have a net sale of about €84m in this window. It leans to a win for Aston Villa, with 2-0 at 8% and 3-1 at 7% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Real Betis Balompié 2.13 expected goals to Feyenoord Rotterdam's 1.37. Real Betis Balompié averaged 1.88 scored and 1.12 conceded across 25 home matches on record. It leans to a win for Real Betis Balompié, with 2-0 at 7% and 3-1 at 7% the next likeliest scores that way.