Correct Score Predictions: 17-19 Oct 2026

Everton averaged 1.41 scored and 1.32 conceded across 22 home matches on record. Chelsea averaged 1.67 scored and 1.78 conceded across 27 away matches. Everton have a net sale of about €75m in this window and Chelsea have a net sale of about €280m in this window. Last meeting on record: Everton 3-0 Chelsea. It leans to a win for Chelsea, with 0-1 at 5% and 0-2 at 4% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Manchester City 3.14 expected goals to Ipswich Town's 1.01. Manchester City averaged 2.29 scored and 0.96 conceded across 28 home matches on record. Manchester City have a net sale of about €106m in this window. It leans to a win for Manchester City, with 3-0 at 8% and 2-1 at 8% the next likeliest scores that way.

Fulham averaged 1.59 scored and 1.23 conceded across 22 home matches on record. It leans to a win for Fulham, with 2-1 at 6% and 2-0 at 5% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Brentford 1.63 expected goals to Liverpool's 1.16. Brentford averaged 1.82 scored and 1.00 conceded across 22 home matches on record. Liverpool averaged 1.69 scored and 1.48 conceded across 29 away matches. Liverpool have a net spend of about €104m in this window. Last meeting on record: Liverpool 1-1 Brentford. It leans to a win for Brentford, with 1-0 at 9% and 2-0 at 8% the next likeliest scores that way.

Newcastle United averaged 1.96 scored and 1.43 conceded across 28 home matches on record. Aston Villa averaged 1.30 scored and 1.52 conceded across 23 away matches. Aston Villa have a net sale of about €84m in this window. Last meeting on record: Newcastle United 0-2 Aston Villa. It leans to a win for Newcastle United, with 3-1 at 5% and 3-2 at 5% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Espanyol de Barcelona 0.99 expected goals to Club Atlético de Madrid's 1.55. Espanyol de Barcelona averaged 1.17 scored and 1.30 conceded across 23 home matches on record. Club Atlético de Madrid averaged 1.41 scored and 1.59 conceded across 32 away matches. Last meeting on record: Club Atlético de Madrid 4-2 Espanyol de Barcelona. It leans to a win for Club Atlético de Madrid, with 0-2 at 9% and 1-2 at 9% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Villarreal 2.41 expected goals to Elche's 1.13. Villarreal averaged 2.29 scored and 1.36 conceded across 28 home matches on record. Elche averaged 1.13 scored and 1.91 conceded across 23 away matches. Last meeting on record: Villarreal 2-1 Elche. It leans to a win for Villarreal, with 2-0 at 8% and 3-1 at 8% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Real Betis Balompié 1.38 expected goals to Barcelona's 2.26. Real Betis Balompié averaged 1.88 scored and 0.96 conceded across 24 home matches on record. Barcelona averaged 2.42 scored and 1.39 conceded across 31 away matches. Barcelona have a net spend of about €43m in this window. Last meeting on record: Barcelona 3-1 Real Betis Balompié. It leans to a win for Barcelona, with 1-3 at 7% and 0-2 at 7% the next likeliest scores that way.

Valencia averaged 1.26 scored and 1.39 conceded across 23 home matches on record. Athletic Club averaged 1.04 scored and 1.81 conceded across 26 away matches. Last meeting on record: Athletic Club 0-1 Valencia. It leans to a win for Athletic Club, with 1-2 at 7% and 0-2 at 6% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Venezia 0.74 expected goals to Napoli's 2.56. Napoli averaged 1.25 scored and 1.32 conceded across 28 away matches. Napoli have a net spend of about €50m in this window. It leans to a win for Napoli, with 0-3 at 10% and 0-1 at 9% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Bologna 1.12 expected goals to Internazionale Milano's 2.06. Bologna averaged 1.00 scored and 1.23 conceded across 22 home matches on record. Internazionale Milano averaged 1.97 scored and 1.13 conceded across 30 away matches. Last meeting on record: Bologna 3-3 Internazionale Milano. It leans to a win for Internazionale Milano, with 0-2 at 9% and 0-1 at 8% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Roma 2.40 expected goals to Genoa's 0.67. Roma averaged 1.91 scored and 0.74 conceded across 23 home matches on record. Genoa averaged 0.95 scored and 1.33 conceded across 21 away matches. Last meeting on record: Genoa 2-1 Roma. It leans to a win for Roma, with 1-0 at 11% and 3-0 at 11% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Elversberg 1.85 expected goals to Augsburg's 1.40. Augsburg averaged 1.37 scored and 1.95 conceded across 19 away matches. It leans to a win for Elversberg, with 1-0 at 7% and 2-0 at 7% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Hamburger 1.16 expected goals to VfB Stuttgart's 2.03. Hamburger averaged 1.42 scored and 1.47 conceded across 19 home matches on record. VfB Stuttgart averaged 2.29 scored and 1.90 conceded across 21 away matches. Last meeting on record: VfB Stuttgart 4-0 Hamburger. It leans to a win for VfB Stuttgart, with 0-2 at 8% and 0-1 at 8% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Schalke 1.42 expected goals to FSV Mainz's 0.96. FSV Mainz averaged 1.68 scored and 1.63 conceded across 19 away matches. It leans to a win for Schalke, with 2-0 at 9% and 2-1 at 9% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Werder Bremen 1.54 expected goals to Paderborn's 0.61. Werder Bremen averaged 1.32 scored and 1.79 conceded across 19 home matches on record. It leans to a win for Werder Bremen, with 2-0 at 14% and 2-1 at 8% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Union Berlin 1.04 expected goals to Borussia Dortmund's 1.96. Union Berlin averaged 1.55 scored and 1.60 conceded across 20 home matches on record. Borussia Dortmund averaged 1.85 scored and 1.50 conceded across 26 away matches. Last meeting on record: Union Berlin 0-3 Borussia Dortmund. It leans to a win for Borussia Dortmund, with 0-2 at 10% and 0-1 at 9% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Bayern München 3.65 expected goals to RB Leipzig's 1.12. Bayern München averaged 3.83 scored and 0.97 conceded across 29 home matches on record. RB Leipzig averaged 1.45 scored and 1.80 conceded across 20 away matches. Bayern München have a net spend of about €55m in this window and RB Leipzig have a net sale of about €280m in this window. Last meeting on record: RB Leipzig 1-5 Bayern München. It leans to a win for Bayern München, with 4-1 at 7% and 3-0 at 7% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Strasbourg Alsace 1.42 expected goals to Paris Saint-Germain's 2.48. Strasbourg Alsace averaged 1.74 scored and 1.11 conceded across 19 home matches on record. Paris Saint-Germain averaged 2.07 scored and 1.03 conceded across 29 away matches. Paris Saint-Germain have a net sale of about €89m in this window. Last meeting on record: Strasbourg Alsace 1-2 Paris Saint-Germain. It leans to a win for Paris Saint-Germain, with 1-3 at 7% and 0-2 at 6% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Troyes 0.82 expected goals to Racing Club de Lens's 2.41. Racing Club de Lens averaged 1.81 scored and 1.43 conceded across 21 away matches. It leans to a win for Racing Club de Lens, with 1-2 at 9% and 0-3 at 9% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Lille OSC 1.49 expected goals to Stade Brestois's 1.04. Lille OSC averaged 1.45 scored and 1.00 conceded across 20 home matches on record. Stade Brestois averaged 1.00 scored and 1.85 conceded across 20 away matches. Lille OSC have a net sale of about €100m in this window. Last meeting on record: Lille OSC 1-1 Stade Brestois. It leans to a win for Lille OSC, with 2-1 at 9% and 2-0 at 9% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Udinese 1.85 expected goals to Lecce's 0.93. Udinese averaged 0.91 scored and 1.14 conceded across 22 home matches on record. Lecce averaged 0.77 scored and 1.36 conceded across 22 away matches. Last meeting on record: Lecce 2-1 Udinese. It leans to a win for Udinese, with 2-0 at 11% and 2-1 at 10% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Fiorentina 0.87 expected goals to Como's 2.05. Fiorentina averaged 1.05 scored and 1.23 conceded across 22 home matches on record. Como averaged 1.63 scored and 0.92 conceded across 24 away matches. Last meeting on record: Como 1-2 Fiorentina. It leans to a win for Como, with 0-1 at 11% and 1-2 at 10% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Milan 1.36 expected goals to Atalanta's 0.90. Milan averaged 1.43 scored and 1.00 conceded across 21 home matches on record. Atalanta averaged 1.14 scored and 1.32 conceded across 28 away matches. Last meeting on record: Milan 2-3 Atalanta. It leans to a win for Milan, with 2-0 at 10% and 2-1 at 9% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Juventus 1.33 expected goals to Lazio's 0.87. Juventus averaged 1.90 scored and 0.86 conceded across 29 home matches on record. Lazio averaged 0.86 scored and 0.73 conceded across 22 away matches. Last meeting on record: Juventus 2-2 Lazio. It leans to a win for Juventus, with 2-0 at 10% and 2-1 at 9% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives CA Osasuna 2.63 expected goals to Real Racing Club de Santander's 1.96. CA Osasuna averaged 1.43 scored and 1.22 conceded across 23 home matches on record. It leans to a win for CA Osasuna, with 3-1 at 6% and 3-2 at 6% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Celta de Vigo 1.23 expected goals to Deportivo Alavés's 0.82. Celta de Vigo averaged 1.57 scored and 1.43 conceded across 23 home matches on record. Deportivo Alavés averaged 0.95 scored and 1.55 conceded across 22 away matches. Last meeting on record: Celta de Vigo 3-4 Deportivo Alavés. It leans to a win for Celta de Vigo, with 2-0 at 10% and 2-1 at 8% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Málaga 0.94 expected goals to Real Sociedad de Fútbol's 1.55. Real Sociedad de Fútbol averaged 1.26 scored and 1.70 conceded across 23 away matches. It leans to a win for Real Sociedad de Fútbol, with 0-2 at 10% and 1-2 at 9% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Real Madrid 2.78 expected goals to Sevilla's 0.80. Real Madrid averaged 2.45 scored and 0.84 conceded across 31 home matches on record. Sevilla averaged 1.30 scored and 1.74 conceded across 23 away matches. Real Madrid have a net spend of about €340m in this window. Last meeting on record: Sevilla 0-1 Real Madrid. It leans to a win for Real Madrid, with 3-0 at 10% and 2-1 at 9% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Leeds United 1.38 expected goals to Manchester United's 1.07. Leeds United averaged 1.55 scored and 1.05 conceded across 22 home matches on record. Manchester United averaged 1.43 scored and 1.43 conceded across 23 away matches. Last meeting on record: Manchester United 1-2 Leeds United. It leans to a win for Leeds United, with 2-1 at 9% and 2-0 at 8% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Brighton & Hove Albion 2.94 expected goals to Crystal Palace's 0.83. Brighton & Hove Albion averaged 1.73 scored and 0.95 conceded across 22 home matches on record. Crystal Palace averaged 1.14 scored and 1.45 conceded across 22 away matches. Last meeting on record: Brighton & Hove Albion 0-1 Crystal Palace. It leans to a win for Brighton & Hove Albion, with 3-0 at 10% and 2-1 at 8% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Bournemouth 1.67 expected goals to Sunderland's 1.16. Bournemouth averaged 1.45 scored and 1.09 conceded across 22 home matches on record. Sunderland averaged 1.00 scored and 1.64 conceded across 22 away matches. Last meeting on record: Bournemouth 1-1 Sunderland. It leans to a win for Bournemouth, with 1-0 at 9% and 2-0 at 8% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Nottingham Forest 0.62 expected goals to Arsenal's 1.42. Nottingham Forest averaged 0.91 scored and 1.14 conceded across 22 home matches on record. Arsenal averaged 1.70 scored and 0.82 conceded across 33 away matches. Arsenal have a net spend of about €77m in this window. Last meeting on record: Nottingham Forest 0-0 Arsenal. It leans to a win for Arsenal, with 0-2 at 13% and 1-2 at 8% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Angers SCO 0.99 expected goals to Olympique de Marseille's 1.55. Angers SCO averaged 1.05 scored and 1.20 conceded across 20 home matches on record. Olympique de Marseille averaged 1.27 scored and 1.58 conceded across 26 away matches. Last meeting on record: Angers SCO 2-5 Olympique de Marseille. It leans to a win for Olympique de Marseille, with 0-2 at 9% and 1-2 at 9% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Paris FC 1.67 expected goals to Stade Rennais's 1.18. Paris FC averaged 1.65 scored and 1.40 conceded across 20 home matches on record. Stade Rennais averaged 1.65 scored and 2.00 conceded across 20 away matches. Last meeting on record: Stade Rennais 2-1 Paris FC. It leans to a win for Paris FC, with 1-0 at 9% and 2-0 at 8% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Le Havre 1.33 expected goals to Auxerre's 1.03. Le Havre averaged 1.05 scored and 1.05 conceded across 20 home matches on record. Auxerre averaged 1.00 scored and 1.95 conceded across 20 away matches. Last meeting on record: Le Havre 1-1 Auxerre. It leans to a win for Le Havre, with 2-1 at 9% and 2-0 at 8% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Lorient 1.10 expected goals to Monaco's 1.26. Lorient averaged 1.75 scored and 1.45 conceded across 20 home matches on record. Monaco averaged 1.52 scored and 1.81 conceded across 27 away matches. Last meeting on record: Monaco 1-3 Lorient. It leans to a win for Monaco, with 1-2 at 8% and 0-2 at 8% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Olympique Lyonnais 1.88 expected goals to Nice's 0.57. Olympique Lyonnais averaged 1.90 scored and 1.00 conceded across 20 home matches on record. Nice averaged 0.90 scored and 1.95 conceded across 20 away matches. Last meeting on record: Olympique Lyonnais 2-0 Nice. It leans to a win for Olympique Lyonnais, with 2-0 at 15% and 3-0 at 10% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Bayer Leverkusen 2.37 expected goals to Freiburg's 1.40. Bayer Leverkusen averaged 2.04 scored and 1.19 conceded across 26 home matches on record. Freiburg averaged 1.11 scored and 1.95 conceded across 19 away matches. Last meeting on record: Freiburg 3-3 Bayer Leverkusen. It leans to a win for Bayer Leverkusen, with 3-1 at 7% and 2-0 at 7% the next likeliest scores that way.

Borussia Mönchengladbach averaged 1.58 scored and 1.68 conceded across 19 home matches on record. TSG Hoffenheim averaged 1.74 scored and 1.95 conceded across 19 away matches. Last meeting on record: Borussia Mönchengladbach 4-0 TSG Hoffenheim. It leans to a win for TSG Hoffenheim, with 2-3 at 5% and 1-3 at 4% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Monza 1.17 expected goals to Cagliari's 1.64. Cagliari averaged 1.00 scored and 1.41 conceded across 22 away matches. It leans to a win for Cagliari, with 0-1 at 9% and 0-2 at 8% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Parma 1.00 expected goals to Torino's 1.11. Parma averaged 0.86 scored and 1.27 conceded across 22 home matches on record. Torino averaged 0.95 scored and 1.73 conceded across 22 away matches. Last meeting on record: Torino 4-1 Parma. It leans to a win for Torino, with 0-2 at 7% and 1-2 at 7% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Tottenham Hotspur 1.25 expected goals to Coventry City's 1.03. Tottenham Hotspur averaged 1.52 scored and 1.31 conceded across 29 home matches on record. It leans to a win for Tottenham Hotspur, with 2-1 at 8% and 2-0 at 8% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Getafe 0.88 expected goals to Rayo Vallecano de Madrid's 0.81. Getafe averaged 0.96 scored and 0.78 conceded across 23 home matches on record. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid averaged 0.96 scored and 1.78 conceded across 23 away matches. Last meeting on record: Getafe 0-2 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid. It leans to a draw, with 1-1 at 14% and 2-2 at 2% the next likeliest scores that way.