Correct Score Predictions: 15-16 Sep 2026

The model gives Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1.48 expected goals to Espanyol de Barcelona's 1.14. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid averaged 1.33 scored and 0.86 conceded across 21 home matches on record. Espanyol de Barcelona averaged 1.19 scored and 1.57 conceded across 21 away matches. Last meeting on record: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1-0 Espanyol de Barcelona. It leans to a win for Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, with 2-1 at 9% and 2-0 at 8% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Deportivo Alavés 1.99 expected goals to Valencia's 0.82. Deportivo Alavés averaged 1.55 scored and 1.23 conceded across 22 home matches on record. Valencia averaged 0.95 scored and 1.71 conceded across 21 away matches. Last meeting on record: Valencia 3-2 Deportivo Alavés. It leans to a win for Deportivo Alavés, with 1-0 at 12% and 2-1 at 10% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Elche 0.96 expected goals to Real Madrid's 2.51. Elche averaged 1.52 scored and 1.29 conceded across 21 home matches on record. Real Madrid averaged 1.90 scored and 1.28 conceded across 29 away matches. Real Madrid have a net spend of about €340m in this window. Last meeting on record: Real Madrid 4-1 Elche. It leans to a win for Real Madrid, with 1-2 at 9% and 0-3 at 8% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Deportivo La Coruña 2.06 expected goals to Sevilla's 1.17. Sevilla averaged 1.24 scored and 1.76 conceded across 21 away matches. It leans to a win for Deportivo La Coruña, with 2-0 at 8% and 1-0 at 8% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Club Atlético de Madrid 2.45 expected goals to CA Osasuna's 0.88. Club Atlético de Madrid averaged 2.23 scored and 1.06 conceded across 31 home matches on record. CA Osasuna averaged 0.81 scored and 1.52 conceded across 21 away matches. Last meeting on record: CA Osasuna 1-2 Club Atlético de Madrid. It leans to a win for Club Atlético de Madrid, with 2-1 at 9% and 3-0 at 9% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Levante 1.64 expected goals to Athletic Club's 1.26. Levante averaged 1.57 scored and 1.62 conceded across 21 home matches on record. Athletic Club averaged 1.04 scored and 1.81 conceded across 26 away matches. Last meeting on record: Athletic Club 4-2 Levante. It leans to a win for Athletic Club, with 0-1 at 6% and 0-2 at 4% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Barcelona 4.40 expected goals to Real Racing Club de Santander's 0.95. Barcelona averaged 3.30 scored and 0.80 conceded across 30 home matches on record. Barcelona have a net spend of about €43m in this window. It leans to a win for Barcelona, with 4-1 at 7% and 3-0 at 7% the next likeliest scores that way.