Correct Score Predictions: 13-14 Oct 2026

The model gives Racing Club de Lens 2.03 expected goals to Sporting Clube de Portugal's 1.68. Racing Club de Lens averaged 2.10 scored and 0.85 conceded across 20 home matches on record. Sporting Clube de Portugal averaged 1.00 scored and 1.83 conceded across 6 away matches. It leans to a win for Racing Club de Lens, with 3-1 at 6% and 2-0 at 5% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Sabah FK 1.40 expected goals to Slavia Praha's 1.55. It leans to a win for Slavia Praha, with 0-1 at 8% and 0-2 at 6% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Club Atlético de Madrid 2.16 expected goals to Manchester United's 1.46. Club Atlético de Madrid averaged 2.27 scored and 1.03 conceded across 33 home matches on record. Manchester United averaged 1.50 scored and 1.41 conceded across 22 away matches. It leans to a win for Club Atlético de Madrid, with 3-1 at 7% and 2-0 at 6% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Internazionale Milano 4.42 expected goals to Club Brugge's 1.36. Internazionale Milano averaged 2.52 scored and 1.03 conceded across 31 home matches on record. Club Brugge averaged 1.25 scored and 2.25 conceded across 8 away matches. It leans to a win for Internazionale Milano, with 3-1 at 6% and 5-1 at 6% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives RB Leipzig 2.49 expected goals to PSV's 1.23. RB Leipzig averaged 2.70 scored and 1.00 conceded across 20 home matches on record. PSV averaged 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded across 5 away matches. RB Leipzig have a net sale of about €280m in this window. It leans to a win for RB Leipzig, with 3-1 at 8% and 2-0 at 8% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Villarreal 1.71 expected goals to Napoli's 1.49. Villarreal averaged 2.26 scored and 1.37 conceded across 27 home matches on record. Napoli averaged 1.26 scored and 1.26 conceded across 27 away matches. Napoli have a net spend of about €50m in this window. It leans to a win for Villarreal, with 1-0 at 6% and 2-0 at 6% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Galatasaray 1.47 expected goals to Barcelona's 2.95. Galatasaray averaged 1.75 scored and 0.88 conceded across 8 home matches on record. Barcelona averaged 2.37 scored and 1.40 conceded across 30 away matches. Barcelona have a net spend of about €43m in this window. It leans to a win for Barcelona, with 1-3 at 8% and 1-4 at 6% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Viking FK 1.18 expected goals to Bayern München's 3.19. Bayern München averaged 3.04 scored and 1.21 conceded across 28 away matches. Bayern München have a net spend of about €55m in this window. It leans to a win for Bayern München, with 1-2 at 8% and 0-3 at 7% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Arsenal 1.94 expected goals to Lille OSC's 0.55. Arsenal averaged 2.10 scored and 0.52 conceded across 31 home matches on record. Lille OSC averaged 1.60 scored and 1.10 conceded across 20 away matches. Arsenal have a net spend of about €77m in this window and Lille OSC have a net sale of about €100m in this window. It leans to a win for Arsenal, with 2-0 at 16% and 3-0 at 10% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Feyenoord Rotterdam 1.35 expected goals to Como's 1.97. Como averaged 1.61 scored and 0.83 conceded across 23 away matches. It leans to a win for Como, with 0-2 at 7% and 0-1 at 7% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives LASK Linz 0.85 expected goals to Liverpool's 1.14. Liverpool averaged 1.54 scored and 1.43 conceded across 28 away matches. Liverpool have a net spend of about €104m in this window. It leans to a win for Liverpool, with 0-2 at 9% and 1-2 at 8% the next likeliest scores that way.

Roma averaged 1.86 scored and 0.59 conceded across 22 home matches on record. Real Madrid averaged 1.90 scored and 1.32 conceded across 31 away matches. Real Madrid have a net spend of about €340m in this window. It leans to a win for Real Madrid, with 0-1 at 6% and 0-2 at 4% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Aston Villa 1.72 expected goals to Fenerbahçe's 1.22. Aston Villa averaged 1.59 scored and 1.23 conceded across 22 home matches on record. Aston Villa have a net sale of about €84m in this window. It leans to a win for Aston Villa, with 1-0 at 9% and 2-0 at 8% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives FK Bodø/Glimt 1.57 expected goals to Borussia Dortmund's 1.62. FK Bodø/Glimt averaged 2.57 scored and 1.14 conceded across 7 home matches on record. Borussia Dortmund averaged 1.92 scored and 1.52 conceded across 25 away matches. Last meeting on record: Borussia Dortmund 2-2 FK Bodø/Glimt. It leans to a win for Borussia Dortmund, with 0-1 at 6% and 0-2 at 5% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives FK Shakhtar Donetsk 1.05 expected goals to PAE AEK's 0.73. It leans to a win for FK Shakhtar Donetsk, with 2-0 at 9% and 2-1 at 7% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Manchester City 2.37 expected goals to Paris Saint-Germain's 1.29. Manchester City averaged 2.30 scored and 0.85 conceded across 27 home matches on record. Paris Saint-Germain averaged 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded across 28 away matches. Manchester City have a net sale of about €106m in this window and Paris Saint-Germain have a net sale of about €89m in this window. It leans to a win for Manchester City, with 3-1 at 7% and 2-0 at 7% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives ŠK Slovan Bratislava 1.83 expected goals to VfB Stuttgart's 2.45. VfB Stuttgart averaged 2.25 scored and 2.00 conceded across 20 away matches. It leans to a win for VfB Stuttgart, with 1-3 at 6% and 2-3 at 6% the next likeliest scores that way.