Correct Score Predictions: 12-14 Sep 2026

The model gives Real Racing Club de Santander 1.88 expected goals to Deportivo Alavés's 2.04. Deportivo Alavés averaged 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded across 20 away matches. It leans to a win for Real Racing Club de Santander, with 3-2 at 5% and 3-1 at 4% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives CA Osasuna 1.49 expected goals to Espanyol de Barcelona's 1.13. CA Osasuna averaged 1.52 scored and 1.19 conceded across 21 home matches on record. Espanyol de Barcelona averaged 1.15 scored and 1.65 conceded across 20 away matches. Last meeting on record: CA Osasuna 1-2 Espanyol de Barcelona. It leans to a win for CA Osasuna, with 2-1 at 9% and 2-0 at 8% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Athletic Club 2.15 expected goals to Elche's 1.04. Athletic Club averaged 1.27 scored and 1.27 conceded across 26 home matches on record. Elche averaged 1.05 scored and 2.00 conceded across 21 away matches. Last meeting on record: Athletic Club 2-1 Elche. It leans to a win for Athletic Club, with 2-0 at 9% and 1-0 at 8% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Real Madrid 2.76 expected goals to Rayo Vallecano de Madrid's 0.72. Real Madrid averaged 2.45 scored and 0.86 conceded across 29 home matches on record. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid averaged 0.95 scored and 1.71 conceded across 21 away matches. Real Madrid have a net spend of about €340m in this window. Last meeting on record: Real Madrid 2-1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid. It leans to a win for Real Madrid, with 3-0 at 11% and 2-1 at 8% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Genoa 0.80 expected goals to Frosinone's 1.64. Genoa averaged 1.10 scored and 1.52 conceded across 21 home matches on record. It leans to a win for Frosinone, with 0-2 at 12% and 1-2 at 9% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Lazio 0.93 expected goals to Milan's 0.98. Lazio averaged 1.40 scored and 1.25 conceded across 20 home matches on record. Milan averaged 1.48 scored and 0.76 conceded across 21 away matches. Last meeting on record: Lazio 1-0 Milan. It leans to a win for Milan, with 0-2 at 7% and 1-2 at 7% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Atalanta 1.18 expected goals to Cagliari's 0.80. Atalanta averaged 1.39 scored and 1.00 conceded across 28 home matches on record. Cagliari averaged 0.95 scored and 1.50 conceded across 20 away matches. Last meeting on record: Cagliari 3-2 Atalanta. It leans to a win for Atalanta, with 2-0 at 10% and 2-1 at 8% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Freiburg 2.07 expected goals to Borussia Mönchengladbach's 1.07. Freiburg averaged 2.06 scored and 1.28 conceded across 18 home matches on record. Borussia Mönchengladbach averaged 1.00 scored and 1.78 conceded across 18 away matches. Last meeting on record: Freiburg 2-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach. It leans to a win for Freiburg, with 2-0 at 9% and 1-0 at 8% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Borussia Dortmund 1.04 expected goals to Paderborn's 0.29. Borussia Dortmund averaged 2.36 scored and 1.00 conceded across 25 home matches on record. It leans to a win for Borussia Dortmund, with 2-0 at 14% and 3-0 at 5% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives . FSV Mainz 2.63 expected goals to Eintracht Frankfurt's 1.08. . FSV Mainz averaged 1.17 scored and 1.39 conceded across 18 home matches on record. Eintracht Frankfurt averaged 1.77 scored and 2.32 conceded across 22 away matches. Last meeting on record: . FSV Mainz 2-1 Eintracht Frankfurt. It leans to a win for . FSV Mainz, with 2-0 at 8% and 3-1 at 8% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives TSG Hoffenheim 2.02 expected goals to VfB Stuttgart's 2.29. TSG Hoffenheim averaged 2.06 scored and 1.33 conceded across 18 home matches on record. VfB Stuttgart averaged 2.33 scored and 2.11 conceded across 18 away matches. Last meeting on record: TSG Hoffenheim 3-3 VfB Stuttgart. It leans to a win for VfB Stuttgart, with 2-3 at 5% and 1-3 at 5% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Augsburg 1.55 expected goals to Bayer Leverkusen's 1.47. Augsburg averaged 1.56 scored and 1.56 conceded across 18 home matches on record. Bayer Leverkusen averaged 1.59 scored and 1.52 conceded across 27 away matches. Last meeting on record: Bayer Leverkusen 1-2 Augsburg. It leans to a win for Augsburg, with 1-0 at 7% and 2-0 at 6% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives . Köln 1.85 expected goals to Werder Bremen's 1.35. . Köln averaged 1.83 scored and 1.78 conceded across 18 home matches on record. Werder Bremen averaged 1.06 scored and 1.83 conceded across 18 away matches. Last meeting on record: . Köln 3-1 Werder Bremen. It leans to a win for . Köln, with 1-0 at 7% and 2-0 at 7% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Aston Villa 1.34 expected goals to Nottingham Forest's 1.22. Aston Villa averaged 1.60 scored and 1.15 conceded across 20 home matches on record. Nottingham Forest averaged 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded across 20 away matches. Aston Villa have a net sale of about €84m in this window. Last meeting on record: Nottingham Forest 1-1 Aston Villa. It leans to a win for Aston Villa, with 2-1 at 8% and 2-0 at 7% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Crystal Palace 2.25 expected goals to Ipswich Town's 1.49. Crystal Palace averaged 1.00 scored and 1.35 conceded across 20 home matches on record. It leans to a win for Crystal Palace, with 3-1 at 7% and 2-0 at 6% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Bournemouth 1.51 expected goals to Brentford's 1.16. Bournemouth averaged 1.50 scored and 1.05 conceded across 20 home matches on record. Brentford averaged 1.15 scored and 1.60 conceded across 20 away matches. Last meeting on record: Bournemouth 0-0 Brentford. It leans to a win for Bournemouth, with 2-1 at 9% and 2-0 at 8% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Liverpool 2.08 expected goals to Fulham's 0.88. Liverpool averaged 1.96 scored and 1.15 conceded across 27 home matches on record. Fulham averaged 0.85 scored and 1.60 conceded across 20 away matches. Liverpool have a net spend of about €104m in this window. Last meeting on record: Liverpool 2-0 Fulham. It leans to a win for Liverpool, with 1-0 at 10% and 2-1 at 10% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Tottenham Hotspur 1.13 expected goals to Everton's 1.26. Tottenham Hotspur averaged 1.56 scored and 1.30 conceded across 27 home matches on record. Everton averaged 1.10 scored and 1.20 conceded across 20 away matches. Everton have a net sale of about €75m in this window. Last meeting on record: Tottenham Hotspur 1-0 Everton. It leans to a win for Tottenham Hotspur, with 2-1 at 7% and 2-0 at 6% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Sunderland 0.54 expected goals to Arsenal's 1.37. Sunderland averaged 1.30 scored and 1.00 conceded across 20 home matches on record. Arsenal averaged 1.74 scored and 0.77 conceded across 31 away matches. Arsenal have a net spend of about €77m in this window. Last meeting on record: Arsenal 3-0 Sunderland. It leans to a win for Arsenal, with 0-2 at 14% and 1-2 at 8% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Strasbourg Alsace 1.76 expected goals to Monaco's 1.98. Strasbourg Alsace averaged 1.78 scored and 1.11 conceded across 18 home matches on record. Monaco averaged 1.54 scored and 1.85 conceded across 26 away matches. Last meeting on record: Strasbourg Alsace 5-4 Monaco. It leans to a win for Monaco, with 1-3 at 5% and 2-3 at 5% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Paris FC 1.48 expected goals to Olympique Lyonnais's 1.22. Paris FC averaged 1.72 scored and 1.50 conceded across 18 home matches on record. Olympique Lyonnais averaged 1.39 scored and 1.22 conceded across 18 away matches. Last meeting on record: Olympique Lyonnais 1-1 Paris FC. It leans to a win for Paris FC, with 2-1 at 9% and 2-0 at 7% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Le Havre 1.09 expected goals to Angers SCO's 0.84. Le Havre averaged 1.11 scored and 1.11 conceded across 19 home matches on record. Angers SCO averaged 0.78 scored and 1.61 conceded across 18 away matches. Last meeting on record: Angers SCO 1-1 Le Havre. It leans to a win for Le Havre, with 2-0 at 9% and 2-1 at 7% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Auxerre 1.48 expected goals to Nice's 0.98. Auxerre averaged 1.06 scored and 1.11 conceded across 18 home matches on record. Nice averaged 0.95 scored and 2.00 conceded across 19 away matches. Last meeting on record: Auxerre 2-1 Nice. It leans to a win for Auxerre, with 2-0 at 9% and 2-1 at 9% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Lorient 1.27 expected goals to Toulouse's 0.90. Lorient averaged 1.78 scored and 1.50 conceded across 18 home matches on record. Toulouse averaged 1.33 scored and 1.33 conceded across 18 away matches. Last meeting on record: Toulouse 1-0 Lorient. It leans to a win for Lorient, with 2-0 at 9% and 2-1 at 8% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Torino 0.88 expected goals to Roma's 2.74. Torino averaged 1.40 scored and 1.55 conceded across 20 home matches on record. Roma averaged 1.48 scored and 1.05 conceded across 21 away matches. Last meeting on record: Torino 0-2 Roma. It leans to a win for Roma, with 0-3 at 9% and 1-2 at 9% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Lecce 1.31 expected goals to Monza's 1.50. Lecce averaged 0.65 scored and 1.40 conceded across 20 home matches on record. It leans to a win for Monza, with 0-1 at 8% and 0-2 at 7% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Como 1.91 expected goals to Parma's 0.53. Como averaged 1.95 scored and 0.85 conceded across 20 home matches on record. Parma averaged 0.65 scored and 1.15 conceded across 20 away matches. Last meeting on record: Como 1-1 Parma. It leans to a win for Como, with 2-0 at 16% and 3-0 at 10% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Napoli 1.54 expected goals to Bologna's 0.96. Napoli averaged 1.62 scored and 1.00 conceded across 26 home matches on record. Bologna averaged 1.50 scored and 1.20 conceded across 20 away matches. Napoli have a net spend of about €50m in this window. Last meeting on record: Napoli 2-3 Bologna. It leans to a win for Napoli, with 2-0 at 10% and 2-1 at 9% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Sassuolo 0.94 expected goals to Juventus's 1.78. Sassuolo averaged 1.35 scored and 1.35 conceded across 20 home matches on record. Juventus averaged 1.42 scored and 1.15 conceded across 26 away matches. Last meeting on record: Juventus 1-1 Sassuolo. It leans to a win for Juventus, with 0-2 at 10% and 1-2 at 10% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Celta de Vigo 1.23 expected goals to Málaga's 0.31. Celta de Vigo averaged 1.43 scored and 1.52 conceded across 21 home matches on record. It leans to a win for Celta de Vigo, with 2-0 at 16% and 3-0 at 7% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Levante 1.07 expected goals to Barcelona's 2.39. Levante averaged 1.55 scored and 1.50 conceded across 20 home matches on record. Barcelona averaged 2.29 scored and 1.39 conceded across 28 away matches. Barcelona have a net spend of about €43m in this window. Last meeting on record: Barcelona 3-0 Levante. It leans to a win for Barcelona, with 0-2 at 9% and 1-3 at 8% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Getafe 1.05 expected goals to Deportivo La Coruña's 1.01. Getafe averaged 0.95 scored and 0.81 conceded across 21 home matches on record. It leans to a win for Getafe, with 2-1 at 7% and 2-0 at 7% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Real Sociedad de Fútbol 1.76 expected goals to Club Atlético de Madrid's 1.55. Real Sociedad de Fútbol averaged 1.86 scored and 1.52 conceded across 21 home matches on record. Club Atlético de Madrid averaged 1.33 scored and 1.67 conceded across 30 away matches. Last meeting on record: Club Atlético de Madrid 3-2 Real Sociedad de Fútbol. It leans to a win for Club Atlético de Madrid, with 0-1 at 5% and 0-2 at 4% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Lille OSC 2.01 expected goals to Troyes's 0.93. Lille OSC averaged 1.44 scored and 1.11 conceded across 18 home matches on record. Lille OSC have a net sale of about €100m in this window. It leans to a win for Lille OSC, with 1-0 at 10% and 2-1 at 10% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Le Mans 1.51 expected goals to Racing Club de Lens's 2.41. Racing Club de Lens averaged 1.84 scored and 1.37 conceded across 19 away matches. It leans to a win for Racing Club de Lens, with 1-3 at 7% and 0-2 at 6% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Stade Brestois 1.17 expected goals to Paris Saint-Germain's 2.52. Stade Brestois averaged 1.67 scored and 1.39 conceded across 18 home matches on record. Paris Saint-Germain averaged 2.04 scored and 1.04 conceded across 26 away matches. Paris Saint-Germain have a net sale of about €89m in this window. Last meeting on record: Paris Saint-Germain 1-0 Stade Brestois. It leans to a win for Paris Saint-Germain, with 0-2 at 8% and 1-3 at 8% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Coventry City 0.53 expected goals to Brighton & Hove Albion's 1.52. Brighton & Hove Albion averaged 1.25 scored and 1.50 conceded across 20 away matches. It leans to a win for Brighton & Hove Albion, with 0-2 at 15% and 1-2 at 8% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Manchester United 1.65 expected goals to Manchester City's 1.64. Manchester United averaged 2.29 scored and 1.24 conceded across 21 home matches on record. Manchester City averaged 1.70 scored and 1.26 conceded across 27 away matches. Manchester City have a net sale of about €106m in this window. Last meeting on record: Manchester United 2-0 Manchester City. It leans to a win for Manchester City, with 0-1 at 6% and 0-2 at 5% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives RB Leipzig 2.32 expected goals to Hamburger's 1.01. RB Leipzig averaged 2.39 scored and 1.11 conceded across 18 home matches on record. Hamburger averaged 0.83 scored and 1.89 conceded across 18 away matches. RB Leipzig have a net sale of about €280m in this window. Last meeting on record: Hamburger 1-2 RB Leipzig. It leans to a win for RB Leipzig, with 2-0 at 10% and 1-0 at 8% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Internazionale Milano 2.07 expected goals to Udinese's 1.09. Internazionale Milano averaged 2.41 scored and 1.00 conceded across 29 home matches on record. Udinese averaged 1.50 scored and 1.45 conceded across 20 away matches. Last meeting on record: Udinese 0-1 Internazionale Milano. It leans to a win for Internazionale Milano, with 2-0 at 9% and 1-0 at 8% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Leeds United 1.45 expected goals to Newcastle United's 1.18. Leeds United averaged 1.50 scored and 1.10 conceded across 20 home matches on record. Newcastle United averaged 1.44 scored and 1.41 conceded across 27 away matches. Last meeting on record: Newcastle United 4-3 Leeds United. It leans to a win for Leeds United, with 2-1 at 9% and 2-0 at 8% the next likeliest scores that way.

The model gives Villarreal 1.84 expected goals to Real Betis Balompié's 1.43. Villarreal averaged 2.28 scored and 1.36 conceded across 25 home matches on record. Real Betis Balompié averaged 1.41 scored and 1.64 conceded across 22 away matches. Last meeting on record: Real Betis Balompié 2-0 Villarreal. It leans to a win for Villarreal, with 1-0 at 7% and 2-0 at 6% the next likeliest scores that way.